A Night of Shocks in Orlando as Saudi Giants Topple European Champions
In what will go down as one of the greatest upsets in Club World Cup history, Saudi Arabia’s Al Hilal defeated Manchester City 4-3 after extra time in a pulsating last-16 encounter that had everything – controversy, drama, and a tactical masterclass from the underdogs. Baji999 analysts were left stunned as the Asian champions outmaneuvered Pep Guardiola’s side in Orlando, proving Saudi football’s growing quality on the global stage.

How the Game Unfolded: A Tactical Rollercoaster
First Half: City’s Wasted Dominance
Manchester City started brightly with Bernardo Silva giving them a ninth-minute lead, though the goal was shrouded in controversy with potential handballs in the buildup. As Baji999 tactical review shows, City created numerous chances but were repeatedly denied by Al Hilal goalkeeper Yassine Bounou, who made crucial saves against Savinho, Ilkay Gundogan, Josko Gvardiol, and Jeremy Doku.
Former Barcelona analyst Javier Martinez told Baji999: “City’s inability to kill the game when dominant proved costly. Guardiola’s men had 72% possession and 15 shots in the first half alone, but only three on target. This profligacy gave Al Hilal the lifeline they needed.”
Second Half: Al Hilal’s Devastating Counterattacks
The Saudi side emerged transformed after halftime, scoring twice within seven minutes through Marcos Leonardo and former Barcelona winger Malcom. Our Baji999 data team noted Al Hilal completed just 38 passes in the second half compared to City’s 287, yet scored from two of their three shots on target – a textbook display of counterattacking efficiency.
Extra Time: Leonardo Seals Historic Win
After Erling Haaland and Phil Foden twice brought City level, Leonardo struck the decisive blow in the 112th minute following a Sergej Milinkovic-Savic header. The Brazilian’s brace capped a remarkable individual performance that Baji999 scouts had flagged as one to watch before the tournament.
Tactical Analysis: Where It Went Wrong for City
Defensive Fragility Exposed
City’s high defensive line was repeatedly punished by Al Hilal’s rapid transitions. Former Chelsea defender Kalidou Koulibaly’s powerful header in extra time highlighted City’s aerial vulnerabilities, a rare weakness in Guardiola’s usually watertight system.
Midfield Control Lost
With Rodri surprisingly ineffective off the bench, City lacked their usual control in midfield. Al Hilal’s midfield trio of Milinkovic-Savic, Mohamed Kanno, and Ruben Neves outworked their more illustrious opponents, making 27 tackles between them.
Guardiola’s Uncharacteristic Errors
The City boss admitted to Baji999 after the match: “We were too open. Against a team with Al Hilal’s speed, you cannot afford to leave spaces in transition.” His decision to start without a natural defensive midfielder proved costly against the Saudi side’s rapid counters.

What This Means for Both Teams
For Al Hilal, this victory represents Asian football’s coming of age. As Baji999 Middle East correspondent noted: “This wasn’t just about money – it was a tactical triumph for Simone Inzaghi and proof that Saudi football’s development is accelerating.”
For City, the defeat raises questions about their preseason preparations. With key players like Kevin De Bruyne still recovering and new signings bedding in, Guardiola has work to do before the Premier League restart.
Looking Ahead: Al Hilal’s Path to Glory
Al Hilal now face Fluminense in the quarterfinals, with a potential semifinal against Chelsea or Palmeiras awaiting the winners. Baji999 tournament predictor gives the Saudis a 38% chance of reaching the final after this statement victory.
As for Manchester City, Guardiola must regroup quickly. With the Community Shield approaching, the champions can’t afford to let this defeat derail their preparations. One thing’s certain – the 2024/25 season just got even more intriguing.
Baji999 will bring you exclusive analysis of all the Club World Cup action as the tournament progresses. Stay tuned for more in-depth tactical breakdowns and expert opinions.

